PEPE Price Prediction for April 3: Is $0.0006575 the New Support Level?

• PEPE price drops 15% amid rising trading volume and investor caution.  
• Derivatives data show reduced open interest and bearish pressure on long positions.  
• Spot market outflows persist, limiting recovery despite RSI hinting at stabilization.

Pepe (PEPE), a meme-based cryptocurrency rooted in internet culture, recorded a drop in price on April 3, falling by 15.03% to $0.0006575. Despite its earlier gains in 2024, the token’s recent price movement reflects growing caution among investors.

The decline was accompanied by a notable increase in trading activity, indicating a shift in short-term sentiment. As PEPE attempts to regain its momentum, indicators show mixed signals amid rising volatility in both spot and derivatives markets.

PEPE’s price began the day at $0.0007719 but declined during afternoon trading. The sell-off pushed its market capitalization down by 15.02%, now totaling $2.76 billion. However, 24-hour trading volume surged by 44.31%, reaching $1.16 billion, reflecting intensified market engagement. The coin’s circulation remains at 420.68 trillion, nearly identical to its maximum cap, with over 419,000 wallet holders.

The volume-to-market-cap ratio over 24 hours climbed to 42.31%, showing strong trading activity.

Derivatives Data Shows Mixed Trader Sentiment

The 24-hour trading volume in the derivatives market was 13.98% higher, reaching $1.62 Billion. However, open interest went down by 11.29 percent to $222.14 million. This is due to decreased trading operations as traders withdrew trades due to fluctuation.

Platform-specific data showed variation across exchanges. OKX traders maintained a strong long bias with a ratio of 3.04, while Binance activity remained more balanced. Among top Binance traders, short positions outnumbered longs when measured by size, suggesting increased cautious positioning.

Liquidations totaled $4.27 million in the past 24 hours, with $3.82 million from long positions and $455,090 from shorts. In shorter timeframes, such as 12 hours, $2.72 million in longs were liquidated, continuing the pressure on bullish traders.

Spot Market Netflows Indicate Persistent Outflows

Data obtained from the spot market using netflow analysis shows that outflows have been consistently observed over months. This became obvious between the middle of November and the end of January and a drop in the price of PEPE. While there was a build-up in activity in mid-November, outflows were observed to start soon after continuing up to early 2024.

Regardless, the netflows have been negative since February, with little evidence of a buildup in demand. 

Momentum Indicators Suggest a Possible Short-Term Stabilization

Looking at the hourly chart technical indicators regarding the amount of buying and selling pressure, oscillators indicate mixed signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 37.02, indicating rising from more oversold rates early in the day. This rise suggests that selling pressure is diminishing.

Meanwhile, the MACD remains below its signal line, with the MACD line at -0.00000022 and the signal line at -0.00000020, reflecting ongoing bearish momentum.