Ethereum Price Forecast – Why Price Action Around $1817 Could Push ETH to $2000 or Back to $1400

Highlights:

• Ethereum oscillating around the critical $1817 resistance level
• Rally through $1817.2 could open the way for a jump to $2000
• Failure at $1817 could see a potential drop back to $1400 

Ethereum is relatively quiet today. When going to press, it was trading at $1,810.8, a slight 0.09% gain on the day. While Ethereum’s price action remains dormant, analysts remain increasingly optimistic about its longer-term potential due to a mix of network upgrades, market momentum, and institutional interest.

Ethereum’s strengthening correlation with Bitcoin is one of the most important factors underlying this renewed optimism. Ethereum appears positioned to mirror any potential Bitcoin price rallies, especially now that Bitcoin is flirting with signs of its all-time high mark.

New Fee Proposal Aims to Boost Small App Developers

Adding to the bullish sentiment is a proposal by Kevin Owocki and Devansh Mehta to the Ethereum community. Their project proposes a new dynamic fee system for Ethereum’s application level, structured to balance revenue extraction and fairness in fee extraction for application developers.

Is this the upgrade Ethereum’s fee model need??

Community members Kevin Owocki and Devansh Mehta have proposed a new dynamic fee model for the app layer.

The idea? Use a square root function to make fees higher for smaller funding pools but taper off as project funding grows… pic.twitter.com/KGcue19aBR

— Jas (@JasCrypto_) April 28, 2025

The April 27 proposal explicitly recommends adopting a square root function for determining project fees, enabling smaller initiatives to reap greater returns relative to their investments. A good example is a funding pool of $170,000, which would incur a 7% overhead fee under the root function system. This significantly improves the position of smaller builders, as they can pay much less in fees to gain traction.

Additionally, Owocki and Mehta proposed that projects with funding pools greater than 10 million dollars should be capped at 1% in fees. This cap limits the overcharging of developers who fuel significant growth and aims to encourage scalability, which could significantly mitigate delayed innovation throughout the Ethereum ecosystem.

Solana Emerges as a Major Competitor

The proposed reforms are needed most, as Ethereum faces increased competition from rival blockchains like Solana. According to Electric Capital, Solana brought in a greater influx of new developers in 2024, 7,625, as opposed to Ethereum’s 6,456.

Solana: #1 for new devs in 2024

Five takeaways from Electric Capital's Developer Report — hearing rumors Solana devs aren't going anywhere. pic.twitter.com/9IqzHYyb23

— Solana (@solana) December 24, 2024

Adding to these concerns is a recent slump in network activity. In April 2025, Ethereum’s base layer fees fell to five-year lows in what Santiment described as a “decreased network activity slump.” This suggests reduced demand for DeFi operations and lower smart contract usage.

This period of reduced activity has prompted certain institutions to cut back on, or completely offload, their holdings of Ether, which has hurt sentiment. Absent a strong catalyst, Ethereum stands to lose ground to more efficient, lower-cost competitors without a strong proposal and upgrade system that puts demand in motion.

Analysts Believe $10K Ethereum Price Is Possible in 2025

Despite these headwinds, analysts still expect Ethereum to achieve remarkable price targets by the end of the year. Some forecasts even claim that, due to macroeconomic conditions, technological progress, and increased demand from institutions, Ethereum could reach $10,000.

A major supporting factor for this bullish scenario is the possible issuance of a spot Ethereum ETF by the U.S. SEC, shifting sentiment into overdrive. Bloomberg’s James Seyffart foresees 50% odds for approval during Q3 2025, which might set off up to $5 billion in first-year inflows. On-chain estimates provide cause for optimism. Data from Etherscan shows that daily unique addresses for the Ethereum blockchain are stable at around 527,000 this month. This means users are actively engaging even during periods of lower market activity.

Episode 190: What ETFs are Saying about Where the Market is Headed Next with James Seyffart of Bloomberg Intelligence@alextapscott @AndrewY_SX @JSeyff @BBGIntelligence @NinepointDAG

0:00 Introduction
2:00 Market Turmoil and ETF Dynamics
6:08 ‘Bearish But Long’ & ‘Vanguard… pic.twitter.com/vlGa2TY63q

— The DeFi Decoded Podcast (@defidecodedpod) April 11, 2025

The Strength of Staking and Validator Numbers

More importantly, the number of active Ethereum validators has crossed the one million mark, pushing the staked ETH percentage above 26%. This enhancement in validator participation strengthens Ethereum’s network security and shows increasing confidence in its future. 

Ethereum’s strength also comes from its dominance in total value locked (TVL). Ethereum holds around $51.5 billion in TVL, which accounts for over half of the $95.5 billion locked across all blockchains. This reflects an essential measure of the network’s strength and provides a good measure of resiliency.

$ETH | @ethereum

Keep FUDDING ETH… Institutions are Loading

Retail Sells Bottoms. Smart Money Buys Them

3 Charts. Same Outcome.
The Bounce is Already Brewing pic.twitter.com/d8QW2U31Ml

— Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) April 17, 2025

Technical Analysis – Ethereum Price Struggling at Critical Resistance

Ethereum has struggled below the $1817.2 resistance for the sixth day. If Ethereum bulls push the price through this resistance, a rally to the $2084.6 resistance could follow. 

Conversely, if bulls fail at the $1817.2 resistance, the price could drop to $1473.3 in the short term.

Recap

Ethereum now faces new challenges, but Bitcoin’s growing dominance, community-driven initiatives, strong on-chain metrics, and potential shifts in regulatory policy create growth opportunities. In the short term, investors are watching for a breach of the $1817.2 resistance. Such a rally would pave the way to $2000 in the short term.